Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MATIC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.379832 0.438228 0.499541 0.568437 0.643420 0.722293 0.811260
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.291092 0.370268 0.458546 0.563159 0.682654 0.813858 0.967771
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.239925 0.334116 0.444969 0.582439 0.745782 0.931265 1.155397
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.188971 0.289593 0.414764 0.577032 0.777100 1.011309 1.301792
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.162882 0.271584 0.413375 0.603986 0.845954 1.135901 1.502593
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.133059 0.243497 0.395066 0.606567 0.882964 1.221747 1.658209
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.109262 0.219732 0.379111 0.609473 0.918609 1.305246 1.811497
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.093304 0.204886 0.373314 0.624322 0.968809 1.406923 1.988207
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.081318 0.194202 0.371893 0.644070 1.025013 1.516499 2.175939
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.071003 0.184447 0.370471 0.662883 1.079626 1.624362 2.362632
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.058025 0.167323 0.355584 0.660552 1.104223 1.692674 2.499095
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.049460 0.156851 0.350019 0.671048 1.146145 1.783846 2.665648
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.039071 0.140515 0.333354 0.664084 1.163708 1.843873 2.794340
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.028759 0.121249 0.309176 0.643395 1.160081 1.874523 2.884391
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.024063 0.114117 0.305911 0.655516 1.204321 1.970930 3.062582
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.017903 0.100803 0.289294 0.644387 1.213074 2.017939 3.174944
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.015891 0.098914 0.294703 0.670158 1.277855 2.143844 3.394823
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.012331 0.090557 0.285961 0.670993 1.304181 2.215736 3.542087
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.009499 0.083204 0.278289 0.672946 1.331844 2.289526 3.692402
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.007852 0.079570 0.278194 0.688107 1.380227 2.393311 3.884675
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.006700 0.077448 0.281184 0.708750 1.437437 2.510241 4.095892
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.005665 0.075264 0.283742 0.728541 1.493513 2.626063 4.306520
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.004042 0.068529 0.274580 0.725903 1.513215 2.689022 4.444130